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Orexo (ORX) investor relations material
Orexo Q3 2025 earnings summary
Complete event summary combining all related documents: earnings call transcript, report, and slide presentation.Executive summary
Significant R&D progress with BARDA funding up to USD 51 million for OX390 and strong preclinical data for GLP-1 (OX472); commercial manufacturing of Izipry™ (OX124) completed and OX640 upscaled, though market uncertainty affects partnerships.
Q3 revenues declined year-over-year due to SEK 11 million FX headwind and lower US Commercial sales, but gross margin improved and net loss narrowed.
2025 financial outlook reaffirmed, with positive EBITDA expected and continued focus on pipeline and US commercial performance.
Ongoing US DOJ investigation and legal risks, but no civil or criminal case filed as of report date.
Market and investor interest increased following GLP-1 and OX390 developments.
Financial highlights
Q3 net revenues: SEK 118.7 million (down from SEK 136.5 million); 96% from US Commercial segment.
EBITDA: SEK -9.8 million, mainly due to SEK 12.9 million LTIP provision; adjusted EBITDA would be positive.
Gross margin improved to 94% (Q3 2023: 85%), driven by favorable FX and lower production costs.
Cash and cash equivalents at quarter-end: SEK 106 million; negative cash flow of SEK 14.9 million for the period.
Net loss for Q3: SEK -29.8 million, improved from SEK -41.9 million last year.
Outlook and guidance
2025 outlook reaffirmed: buprenorphine/naloxone market expected to grow 2–5%, Zubsolv net sales guidance USD 50–55 million, opex (excl. D&A) SEK 460–500 million.
Positive EBITDA forecast for FY 2025, with risks from non-budgeted one-time items and FX volatility.
Q4 inventory build anticipated to support sales and EBITDA targets.
BARDA funding expected to positively impact Q4 and 2025 results.
Currency sensitivity: 10% USD/SEK depreciation would reduce EBIT by ~20% of the change in net revenues.
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