Turkiye Garanti Bankasi
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Turkiye Garanti Bankasi (GARAN) investor relations material

Turkiye Garanti Bankasi Q4 2025 earnings summary

Complete event summary combining all related documents: earnings call transcript, report, and slide presentation.
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Q4 2025 earnings summary4 Feb, 2026

Executive summary

  • Achieved TL 111.3 billion net income in 2025, up 21% year-over-year, with ROE at 29% and ROAA at 2.9%; excluding one-off tax effects, ROE would have been 30%.

  • Core banking revenues grew for the eighth consecutive quarter, up 66% YoY, driven by lower funding costs and increased payment systems fees.

  • Maintained sector-leading CET1 ratio and strong capital buffer, supporting long-term growth.

  • Asset quality remained stable, with NPL ratio at 3.1% and cost of risk below guidance at 1.5%.

  • Total assets grew to TL 4.55 trillion, a 51% increase from the prior year.

Financial highlights

  • Net interest margin (NIM) reached 5.4%, up 123 bps YoY and 60 bps QoQ, with net interest income including swap costs doubling YoY to TL 179.2bn.

  • Net fees and commissions income increased 50% YoY to TL 145.5bn, with payment systems contributing 67.5%.

  • Operating expenses increased 67% YoY, with cost/income ratio at 48.8%, the lowest among peers.

  • Loans/deposits ratio increased to 83.6%; TL loans/TL deposits at 102.2%.

  • NPL ratio increased modestly to 3.1%, with retail and credit card portfolios accounting for 70% of net NPL flows.

Outlook and guidance

  • 2026 macro assumptions: 25% inflation, 32% policy rate, GDP growth of 4%.

  • TL loan growth expected at 30%-35%, foreign currency loans at mid-single digits; net cost of risk to normalize at 2%-2.5%.

  • NIM projected to expand by 75 bps, with improvement dependent on rate cuts and macroprudential measures.

  • Fee and OPEX growth both guided at 30%-35%; OpEx growth to exceed inflation, with 80%-93% covered by fee income.

  • Targeting mid-single digit positive real ROE for 2026, a turnaround from negative real ROE since 2018.

Assess impact of BRSA's inflation accounting decision
How do macro variables affect ECL calculations?
Detail subordinated debt capital eligibility and triggers
Cost growth drivers and future cost/income ratio
NIM expansion drivers and expected peak quarter
Long-term normalized real ROE and NIM levels
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