Renmark Virtual Non-Deal Roadshow
Logotype for Alamos Gold Inc

Alamos Gold (AGI) Renmark Virtual Non-Deal Roadshow summary

Event summary combining transcript, slides, and related documents.

Logotype for Alamos Gold Inc

Renmark Virtual Non-Deal Roadshow summary

30 Jun, 2026

Strategic growth outlook

  • Production is set to nearly double to 1 million oz/year by the end of the decade, driven by fully funded, lower-cost expansions at Island Gold and Lynn Lake, with ongoing exploration supporting further upside.

  • Cost profile is expected to improve, with all-in sustaining costs projected to fall from $1,300/oz to $1,100/oz by 2028, well below industry averages.

  • Asset base is now 90% Canadian, anchored by long-life mines and a clean balance sheet, with net cash and strong free cash flow generation.

  • Outperformance over the past 3.5 years is attributed to high-quality assets, low political risk, consistent execution, and ongoing value creation.

  • Growth is supported by organic expansion, accretive M&A, and a record exploration budget of $72 million for 2025.

Financial performance and valuation

  • EBITDA has increased 15x since 2004 and is expected to double again in the next few years, yet valuation remains attractive at 9x forward EBITDA.

  • Free cash flow is projected to exceed $200 million in 2024, rising to $600 million in 2027 and approaching $1 billion annually by 2029 at current gold prices.

  • Analyst target prices range from CAD 40s to over CAD 50 per share, with all analysts maintaining buy ratings.

  • Dividend increases are anticipated as free cash flow grows, particularly from 2026 onward as major projects come online.

  • Capital allocation prioritizes reinvestment in growth, balance sheet strength, and shareholder returns.

Project execution and operational updates

  • Island Gold Phase 3+ expansion is on track and on budget for mid-2026 completion, doubling capacity and lowering costs.

  • Magino integration has delivered significant synergies, with operational issues resolved and mill performance improving.

  • PDA project in Mexico and Lynn Lake in Manitoba are advancing, with PDA construction starting in 2024 and Lynn Lake targeting initial production in 2028.

  • Exploration success has driven a 44% increase in reserves over six years, with per-share production, reserves, and cash flow all rising significantly.

  • Forest fires have temporarily impacted Lynn Lake, but no significant delays to the overall construction schedule are expected.

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