MERLIN Properties SOCIMI (MRL) Investor presentation summary
Event summary combining transcript, slides, and related documents.
Investor presentation summary
13 Nov, 2026Royal decree outlook
CNMC’s 22 Sep 2026 opinion supported the draft’s objectives but sought material changes; the Council of State’s 6 Nov opinion raised essential observations and major regulatory and legality concerns.
Approval scenarios: 13, 17, 20 or 24 Nov before the 29 Nov elections; 29 Nov–23 Dec under an outgoing government with a mandatory State Attorney’s Office opinion; or no approval.
Entry into force would follow 20 days after publication in the BOE; the presentation illustrated dates from 4 Dec 2026 to early Jan 2027, with a new government potentially formed in early January.
The PP signalled complete repeal if the decree is approved before the elections; regional authorities raised concerns about lost investment and potential compensation claims.
Contingency plan
The revised MEGA plan totals 704 MW of IT capacity: 64 MW in Phase I, 254 MW in Phase II and 386 MW in Phase III; stabilization years are 2027, 2030 and 2031, respectively.
Total planned investment is €7,671m, with gross YoC of 14.5%–15.8% across listed locations and phases.
In the decree’s worst-case hourly-matching scenario, 338 MW of IT capacity is affected; estimated BESS capex is €863m, or 11.3% of total investment.
Of the estimated BESS capex, €553m is non-recoverable, equal to 7.2% of total investment; BESS investment would add €1.2m per MW.
CoreWeave exposure and protections
Portfolio diversification spans offices, shopping centers, logistics, data centers and other assets; CoreWeave exposure is shown at 0.4% of annualized rental income as of 1H26.
CoreWeave’s share of installed capacity is projected to decline to 19% by 2031; leased capacity remains 135 MW from 2027 as total installed capacity expands, against a 20% single-tenant exposure target.
Data center leases use Spanish and Portuguese law, with rent deposits, parent or third-party guarantees, or additional cash deposits; operating assets are described as highly utilized with strong client EBITDA generation.
Modular assets and technical standards support re-letting without further investment; current market rents exceed contracted rents for operating assets, providing release-spread upside.
Pre-let assets have end-user service agreements and GPU funding; tenants’ lenders generally hold pledges over computing operations and may step in following default.
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