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Woodside Energy Group (WDS) CMD 2026 summary

Event summary combining transcript, slides, and related documents.

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CMD 2026 summary

5 Nov, 2026

Strategy and returns

  • Shift toward extracting more value through execution, efficiency, capital allocation and portfolio focus; target portfolio ROACE of 12%-15% by the mid-2030s, versus ~10% from the base business and committed projects under mid-price assumptions.

  • Priorities include operational excellence, disciplined project delivery and active portfolio management; growth is a priority but has no automatic capital allocation.

  • Growth investments must deliver IRR above 12% and positive NPV under low-price assumptions, while competing with shareholder returns and supporting the ROACE target.

Projects and cash generation

  • Scarborough was 99% complete and on budget, with first LNG cargo on track for Q4 2026; Trion was 71% complete and on budget, targeting first oil in 2028.

  • Louisiana LNG was 32% complete and on budget, targeting first LNG in 2029; its three trains provide 16.5 Mtpa capacity.

  • Base business and sanctioned projects are expected to generate >$40bn AOCF in 2027-2032 at $70 Brent, >$50bn in the high-price case and ~$7bn in 2032 at $70 Brent; figures are indicative, not guidance.

  • Sales are projected to grow by >30% from ~212 MMboe in 2025 to ~280 MMboe by 2032; equity LNG portfolio expected to double from 2025 to 2032.

  • FY2026 guidance: production 174-181 MMboe, capital expenditure $4.0-4.5bn and abandonment expenditure $500-800m; production includes 1.5-2.5 MMboe from Beaumont New Ammonia.

Capital allocation and shareholder returns

  • From FY2026 results, distribution policy targets a base dividend of 20% of AOCF plus up to 20% more through dividends and/or buybacks; the Board retains discretion to exceed 40%.

  • Priority one funds the base dividend, sustaining capital and committed projects; priority two can fund balance-sheet and portfolio actions, discretionary distributions or growth.

  • Priority two funds are estimated at ~$17bn for 2027-2032 at $70 Brent and ~$26bn at $85 Brent; growth and discretionary shareholder returns compete for this capital.

  • Balance-sheet resilience and maintaining an investment-grade credit rating remain financial guardrails through the cycle.

  • Under the new framework, historical distributions would have totaled ~$5.4bn at the 40% upper threshold versus $4.2bn under the prior policy; illustrative comparison, not a forecast.

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