ZENKOKU HOSHO (7164) Investor update summary
Event summary combining transcript, slides, and related documents.
Investor update summary
19 Oct, 2026Business model and competitive position
Mortgage guarantees are the core business; fees are tied to loan amount and term, with rising guarantee balances supporting recurring, stock-based revenue. Guarantee balance reached ¥20.4tn at Dec. 2025.
Japan’s only independent mortgage-loan guarantee provider, partnering with 712 financial institutions as of Mar. 2025; independence supports broad partnerships and geographic risk diversification.
12 offices nationwide support local engagement; services include product briefings, training sessions and on-site consultations for partner institutions.
More than 90% of financial institutions use guarantee companies for housing loans; the cited survey shows 92.3% use one.
Credit quality and interest-rate exposure
FY2025 overdue guarantee balance ratio was 0.14%; overdue balances are defined as guarantees at least three payments past due.
FY2025 mortgage guarantee payments were ¥9.3bn, with a 0.09% payment rate; collateral-sale recovery rate was 70.5%.
For a ¥30mn, 35-year loan, a 0.5 percentage-point rate increase raises monthly repayments by roughly ¥7,000; the presentation expects limited impact on credit costs.
Financial performance and outlook
FY2025 revenue rose 10.3% YoY to ¥56.972bn; operating profit increased 7.3% to ¥41.974bn and net profit rose 11.4% to ¥32.089bn.
FY2026/3 forecast: revenue ¥59.2bn (+3.9%), operating profit ¥41.6bn (-0.9%) and net profit ¥31.2bn (-2.8%).
FY2026/3 forecast assumptions include ¥21tn guarantee balance, 58,000 new guarantees, ¥17bn guarantee payments and ¥10.5bn recovery of subrogation claims.
FY2026/3 targets include EPS of ¥233.77 and ROE of 14%.
Latest events from ZENKOKU HOSHO
- H1 net profit rose 7% as guarantees grew; buybacks support a 74% total return.7164
Q2 2027 - Revenue and profit rose year-over-year, with a positive outlook and stable dividend forecast.7164
Q1 2027 - Revenue up 2.1% YoY, profit down 9.7% on higher costs; acquisitions and buybacks drive growth.7164
Q1 2025 - Revenue up 4.2% YoY, profit flat, net assets down, 2-for-1 share split in April 2025.7164
Q2 2025 - Revenue up 4.8% YoY, profit rises, share split and buybacks planned, targets on track.7164
Q3 2025 - Strong profit growth, share split, and buybacks highlight robust performance and capital policy.7164
Q4 2025 - Revenue and profit rose on guarantee growth and M&A, with share buybacks and a share split.7164
Q1 2026 - Revenue and profit rose on higher guarantee exposure, with robust capital returns and a 14% ROE target.7164
Q2 2026 - Revenue and profits rose modestly, with asset levels down due to treasury share purchases.7164
Q3 2026