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Absa Group (ABG) investor relations material
Absa Group Trading Update summary
Complete event summary combining all related documents: earnings call transcript, report, and slide presentation.Strategic Priorities and Business Focus
Four strategic pillars: customer-led growth, diversification by geography and business line, efficiency, and new growth opportunities.
Shift from product-led to client-segment focus, aiming to build competitive advantages in chosen segments.
Diversification targets reducing over-reliance on South Africa, Ghana, and Kenya, with increased focus on other African markets.
Growth initiatives include digitization, wealth offering expansion, value-added services, and targeted acquisitions.
Strategy rollout supported by cultural change initiatives and alignment of incentives to execution.
Financial Guidance and Performance Outlook
2025 guidance unchanged: mid-single-digit revenue growth, stronger non-interest income, muted net interest income, and mid-to-high single-digit loan growth.
ROE expected around 15% in 2025, rising to 16% in 2026, with medium-term target of 16%-19% by 2027-2030.
Cost-to-income ratio to be slightly higher than 53.2% in 2024, approaching 50% by 2028.
Dividend payout ratio maintained at 55%, CET1 ratio to finish 2025 at top end of 11%-12.5% range.
Credit loss ratio expected to improve to upper half of 75-100bps range, with lower impairments.
Regional and Business Segment Performance
Africa regions expected to deliver stronger GDP and earnings growth than South Africa in 2025 and 2026, with CIB leading expansion.
Business Banking and PPB to improve, with focus on client coverage and ancillary revenue.
Wholesale loan growth outpacing retail, with retail activity subdued but showing early signs of improvement.
Fee income growth remains moderate due to competition and digital shift, but value-added services and trading revenue are growth drivers.
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