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Adecoagro (AGRO) investor relations material
Adecoagro Q3 2025 earnings summary
Complete event summary combining all related documents: earnings call transcript, report, and slide presentation.Executive summary
Adjusted EBITDA for Q3 2025 reached $115.1 million, up 3.7% year-over-year, driven by record sugarcane crushing and a strategic shift to ethanol maximization, despite a 29% decline in gross sales to $323.3 million due to lower volumes and prices.
Record quarterly sugarcane crushing in Brazil at 4.9 million tons, with ethanol production up 40% year-over-year and ethanol mix at 55% in 9M25.
Crop and rice areas were reduced and mix improved to target better future margins amid declining global prices; dairy operations set productivity records, focusing on UHT milk for the domestic market.
Announced acquisition of Nutrien’s 50% stake in ProFertil, South America's largest granular urea producer, for ~$600 million, with a $96 million down payment; closing expected by year-end.
Total capital expenditures surged to $151.2 million in Q3 2025, mainly due to the ProFertil acquisition.
Financial highlights
Gross sales for Q3 2025 were $323.3 million, down 29.2% year-over-year; year-to-date sales reached $1.04 billion, down 6.2% year-over-year.
Adjusted EBITDA margin improved to 37% in Q3 2025 from 25% in Q3 2024.
Net sales in the sugar, ethanol, and energy segment were $131.2 million for the quarter, with year-to-date at $433 million.
Adjusted EBITDA for the sugar, ethanol, and energy segment was $120.5 million in Q3 2025, up 20.3% year-over-year; year-to-date adjusted EBITDA was $218 million, down 16% year-over-year.
Distribution to shareholders totaled $45.2 million in 2025, including $35 million in dividends and $10.2 million in share repurchases.
Outlook and guidance
Crushing volume for sugarcane is expected to improve in 2026, with a projected 5%-6% increase over 2025, assuming normal weather.
Cost reductions of 15%-20% anticipated for the next year due to higher crushing volumes, better yields, and efficiency gains.
Planting area for 2025/26 reduced by 21.8% to maximize margin per hectare amid lower commodity prices.
91% of 2025 sugar production hedged at 19.3 cts/lb; 20% of 2026 production committed at 16.4 cts/lb.
Profertil acquisition anticipated to close by year-end, strengthening fertilizer business fundamentals.
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