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Assured Guaranty (AGO) investor relations material
Assured Guaranty Q2 2025 earnings summary
Complete event summary combining all related documents: earnings call transcript, report, and slide presentation.
Executive summary
Adjusted book value per share reached $176.95 and adjusted operating shareholders' equity per share hit $120.11, both record highs as of June 30, 2025.
Net income for Q2 2025 was $103 million ($2.08 per share), up from $78 million in Q2 2024, driven by foreign exchange gains and litigation recovery.
Adjusted operating income was $50 million ($1.01 per share) for Q2 2025 and $212 million ($4.21 per share) for H1 2025.
Insured $15 billion of new business par in H1 2025, the largest first-half amount in a decade, with a 64% market share in the primary market.
Returned $296 million to shareholders YTD through repurchases and dividends, with an additional $300 million authorized and a $250 million special dividend approved.
Financial highlights
Q2 2025 adjusted operating income was $50 million ($1.01/share), down from $80 million ($1.44/share) in Q2 2024.
Net investment income for Q2 2025 was $89 million, a 10% increase year-over-year.
Deferred premium revenue stood at $3.9 billion, indicating strong future earnings.
Insurance segment contributed $76 million, asset management $4 million, offset by a $29 million corporate loss in Q2 2025.
Net earned premiums and net investment income both increased year-over-year.
Outlook and guidance
Board authorized an additional $300 million for share repurchases as of August 2025.
U.S. municipal issuance continued at a record pace in H1 2025, with insured par up $3.3 billion year-over-year.
Management expects continued volatility in net income due to market conditions, loss development, and fair value changes.
Dividend capacity for AG in 2025 is $287 million; $72 million dividend payment planned for Q3 2025.
Economic uncertainty, inflation, and global trade tensions are expected to impact insured obligors and new business opportunities.
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