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Canadian Pacific Kansas City (CP) investor relations material
Canadian Pacific Kansas City Barclays 43rd Annual Industrial Select Conference summary
Complete event summary combining all related documents: earnings call transcript, report, and slide presentation.Industry consolidation and regulatory outlook
Expressed concerns about the proposed UP-NS merger, citing risks of market power concentration and anti-competitive behavior, but noted minimal direct revenue exposure to east-west competition.
Anticipates significant regulatory concessions if the merger is approved, potentially creating new market opportunities.
Emphasized the importance of regulatory scrutiny under 2001 STB rules, which require mergers to enhance competition and serve the public interest.
Plans to seek concessions for customer and shipper access in overlapping markets if the merger proceeds.
Critical regulatory review period for the merger is expected from late April to mid-May.
Merger synergies and operational performance
The 2023 network combination enabled end-to-end service across Canada, the U.S., and Mexico, enhancing competition and customer options.
Achieved $1.2 billion in new revenue synergies from the merger, with an additional $200 million expected this year.
Double-digit EPS growth and mid-single-digit RTM growth are forecasted for the year, supported by strong grain demand and intermodal growth.
Automotive supply chain improvements have driven modal share gains, offering OEMs reliable, efficient service and guaranteed car supply.
Laredo bridge expansion doubled cross-border capacity and improved security, attracting new commercial contracts and modal shifts from truck to rail.
Capital allocation and investment priorities
Capital budget for 2024 is set at $2.6–$2.7 billion, a 15% year-over-year decline, reflecting a shift from infrastructure to locomotive investments.
100 new Tier 4 locomotives were added last year, with another 100 planned for this year.
Increased free cash flow has enabled a 5% share buyback program.
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