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Galp Energia SGPS (GALP) investor relations material
Galp Energia SGPS Q3 2025 (Q&A) earnings summary
Complete event summary combining all related documents: earnings call transcript, report, and slide presentation.Executive summary
Strong operating performance and cash generation across all business segments, with confidence in surpassing 2025 EBITDA and OCF guidance despite a volatile macro environment.
Upstream production in Brazil remained elevated at 115,000 barrels per day, and Bacalhau FPSO began production, expected to drive short-term free cash flow growth.
Downstream businesses in Iberia posted record-high quarterly EBITDA, surpassing pre-COVID levels, and commercial segment results were at record highs.
Net debt reduced to 0.4x (or €1.2bn), reinforcing financial stability and enabling value-accretive investments.
Major divestments, including Mozambique Area 4 and Guinea Bissau commercial assets, contributed to financial strength.
Financial highlights
Q3 2025 RCA EBITDA was €911m (up 11% YoY), with group EBITDA and OCF expected to exceed full-year guidance based on strong asset performance.
Nine months 2025 RCA EBITDA was €2,420m (down 7% YoY), and RCA Net Income was €973m (up 9% YoY).
Free cash flow in Q3 was €548m; for nine months, €1,143m.
Record commercial segment results, with non-fuel and new business contributing nearly 30% of delivered value.
Working capital normalized after early-year disruptions, with no significant issues expected for Q4.
Outlook and guidance
Confident in exceeding group EBITDA and OCF guidance for the year, with no formal upgrade issued.
Upstream production (excluding Bacalhao) expected to be flattish next year, with Bacalhao ramping up but not reaching full plateau until 2027.
CapEx guidance maintained at just under $800 million per annum for 2025–2026, with 2026 expected to be slightly lighter.
Distribution policy remains at one-third of OCF, with flexibility for buybacks and dividend growth around 4% per annum.
Estimated dividend breakeven under $40/bbl for 2026.
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