Merlin
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Merlin (MRLN) investor relations material

Merlin Q2 2026 earnings summary

Complete event summary combining all related documents: earnings call transcript, report, and slide presentation.
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Q2 2026 earnings summary13 Aug, 2026

Executive summary

  • Ended Q2 2026 with $183.9 million in cash equivalents and short-term investments, with no debt, providing a strong financial foundation for ongoing operations and growth.

  • Achieved major milestones: completed critical design review (CDR) for the C-130J program, signed a non-binding MOU with Israel Aerospace Industries for commercial cargo autonomy, reached SOI 3 certification milestone with the Civil Aviation Authority of New Zealand, and completed the first fully autonomous landing at a major airshow.

  • Progressed on both defense and civil aviation fronts, positioning for a multi-billion dollar total addressable market (TAM) annually, with a recurring revenue model based on licensing the Merlin Pilot autonomy platform.

  • Completed a business combination and public listing, raising significant capital through PIPE transactions and warrant issuances.

  • Building a go-to-market network with partners like World Star Aviation and IAI, targeting over 29,000 addressable aircraft globally.

Financial highlights

  • Q2 2026 revenue was $2.2 million, up from $1.0 million in Q1 2026, but down 29% year-over-year due to contract phase transitions.

  • GAAP net loss for Q2 was $58.4 million, an improvement from $90.4 million in Q1 2026, but higher than $16.3 million in Q2 2025, mainly due to increased R&D and G&A expenses.

  • Adjusted EBITDA loss was $27.8 million in Q2, compared to a $23.3 million loss in Q1, reflecting increased investment in engineering and certification.

  • Cash, cash equivalents, and short-term investments totaled $183.9 million at June 30, 2026, up from $123.1 million at March 31, 2026.

  • No debt reported as of Q2 2026.

Outlook and guidance

  • Existing resources are expected to fund growth into fiscal 2028 based on current operating plans, with cash runway projected for at least the next twelve months.

  • Revenue in the near term will be driven by progress on the C-130J IDIQ contract, with meaningful revenue expected in 2027 from the next phase.

  • Anticipated Q3 and Q4 2026 revenue between $4 million and $6 million if milestones are met.

  • Management expects continued net losses as investments in R&D and commercialization persist, with anticipated reductions in engineering costs and improved platform performance.

  • Ongoing focus on civil certification, commercial launch, and scaling of new platforms, including Condor.

Integrated Autonomy technical components
TAM calculation and revenue model components
Detail the Q2 2026 fair value adjustments
Explain the CAANZ issue paper on AI voice ATC
Detail the IAI partnership for Part 25 cargo
Provide status of C-130J integration and testing
Path from C-130J integration to licensing revenue
Regulatory path for AI voice-based ATC comms
Synergies between C-130J and IAI cargo programs
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