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Modelon (MODEL) investor relations material

Modelon Q2 2025 earnings summary

Complete event summary combining all related documents: earnings call transcript, report, and slide presentation.
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Q2 2025 earnings summary24 Jul, 2025

Executive summary

  • Annual recurring revenue (ARR) grew 9% year-over-year to MSEK 55.5, driven by 28% growth in Modelon Impact, while net revenue declined 16% to MSEK 18.5 due to weaker service business and currency effects.

  • Cost reduction initiatives and restructuring led to improved adjusted EBIT, with Q2 adjusted EBIT at MSEK -9.4, a MSEK 2.0 improvement over last year.

  • New contracts were secured with clients in geothermal energy, heat pumps, waste-to-energy, motorsports, and building climate control, expanding the customer base.

  • Integration of the LBNL open-source buildings library into Modelon Impact enhances competitiveness in the building simulation market.

  • Agreement reached for a directed share issue to Briarwood Capital Partners, strengthening financial position and enabling further product and go-to-market investments.

Financial highlights

  • Q2 net revenue was MSEK 18.5 (down 16% year-over-year); software revenue stable at MSEK 14.4; service revenue fell 46% to MSEK 4.0.

  • Adjusted EBIT for Q2 was MSEK -9.4 (improved from -11.4); net profit was MSEK -14.6 (vs. -12.4); EPS SEK -0.85 (vs. -1.13).

  • Cash balance at quarter-end was MSEK 49.3, up 23% year-over-year; cash flow from operations was MSEK -14.6, unchanged from last year.

  • Operating expenses for Q2 were MSEK 33.2, including MSEK 5.2 in non-recurring restructuring costs.

  • Development costs decreased 22% year-over-year to MSEK 10.5 in Q2.

Outlook and guidance

  • Underlying demand for system simulations remains healthy, but customer investment delays, especially in North America, are expected to persist in H2 2025.

  • Cost reduction measures are expected to generate annual savings of MSEK 15 from Q3 2025.

  • Financial targets: software ARR growth above 20% and positive free cash flow by 2026; long-term EBIT margin target above 20%.

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Frequently asked questions

Modelon provides systems modeling and simulation software solutions in Sweden and internationally. The company offers simulation tools for Modelica, FMI, MATLAB/Simulink, and Eclipse/Java; component libraries that can be used to quickly model a system; and engineering services. The company also provides Modelon Simulation Suite (MSS), a solution that supports FMI standards; Library Viewer that enables users to distribute and share FMUs, as well as design systems of systems with flexibility to extend or consider domain specific components; and Modelon Cloud, which is an open platform for simulation engineering where users can publish FMUs from Dymola or simulate models from library viewer on the cloud.

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