Moderna
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Moderna (MRNA) investor relations material

Moderna Analyst Day 2026 summary

Complete event summary combining all related documents: earnings call transcript, report, and slide presentation.
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Analyst Day 2026 summary12 Nov, 2026

Strategy and platform

  • Shared mRNA chemistry, delivery and manufacturing processes aim to improve R&D efficiency, development speed, technical success and capital productivity.

  • Three established modalities span infectious disease vaccines, individualized cancer treatment and rare genetic liver diseases; investment covers four horizons, from approved products to foundational technologies and emerging modalities.

  • Horizon 2 includes mRNA-2808, a T-cell engager for multiple myeloma; Horizon 3 includes in vivo CAR-T and CAR-M programs advancing toward the clinic.

  • LUCY combines AI-generated hypotheses, robotics and experimental feedback to accelerate mRNA and lipid research and build proprietary capabilities.

  • Priorities include renewed growth, improved vaccine profitability, disciplined pipeline investment and a strong balance sheet; AI, automation, data and experimentation target higher productivity across operations.

Financial framework and capital allocation

  • 2026 revenue growth guidance rose from up to 10% to 15%-25%; revenue midpoint is $2.3B, implying 20% growth, and 3Q26 revenue was $1.3B.

  • 2026 gross margin is projected at ~65%, excluding the $0.9B litigation charge, versus 55% in 2025; the framework targets ~10 percentage points of expansion.

  • The prior 2027 cash-cost framework was pulled forward into 2026, with 2026 cash costs estimated at ~$3.8B; costs are expected at ~$4B in 2027 and $4B-$4.5B annually through 2030, primarily driven by oncology.

  • Infectious disease has an approximately $2.3B investment envelope intended to fund future pipeline investment through business cash flow; investment in intismeran and mRNA-encoded development is expected to rise with clinical progress and proof points.

  • 2026 year-end liquidity is estimated at $9.1B, including $5.6B cash, $2.6B convertible-note proceeds and $0.9B undrawn credit; the amended Ares facility extends to 2031 and lowers the drawn rate by 75 bps.

Infectious disease vaccines and commercial growth

  • 2026 core vaccine growth guidance rose to 15%-25%; growth drivers include mNEXSPIKE, mFLUSIVA, EU portfolio expansion and regional partnerships, while 2027 guidance is expected with 4Q earnings.

  • mNEXSPIKE accounted for 94% of U.S. retail vaccine shots in its first approval year; mFLUSIVA reached over 25% of U.S. pharmacies and 110,000+ doses administered, with broader contribution expected in its first full contracting cycle in 2027.

  • Four respiratory products are approved in Europe; the 2027 estimated market comprises 65M flu, 21M COVID and 4M RSV doses, with access and reimbursement work underway and a competitor contract expiry creating a share opportunity.

  • Multi-year vaccine partnerships operate in the U.K., Canada and Australia; a five-year Mexico agreement began with 4M COVID doses shipped in September, while a Taiwan tender supports business through 2027 and beyond.

  • Planned pragmatic studies include ~400,000 U.S. adults aged 65+ per season for influenza and 410,000 adults aged 65+ for a flu-COVID combination; infectious disease revenue is expected to grow, but 15%-25% annual growth is not a prudent planning assumption.

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Frequently asked questions

Pioneering mRNA technology

Moderna was founded on the notion that messenger RNA (mRNA), the molecule sending genetic information from DNA to the cell’s protein factory, could be re-engineered into a versatile set of drugs and vaccines.

With these instructions from the mRNA, our cells could be taught to make whatever our bodies need to treat or prevent disease - virus-slaying antibodies, metabolism-improving enzymes, or heart-caring treats.

Wide range of treatments and vaccines

Founded in September 2010 as “ModeRNA Therapeutics,” named from the combined terms “modified” and “RNA,” the company today has produced 44 different treatments and vaccine candidates, of which 21 have entered clinical trials.

In their pipeline are, among others, vaccines and treatments for influenza, HIV, COVID-19, cancer, and coronary heart disease (CHD). With a market cap of $57 billion, many undoubtedly believe in Moderna's future products.