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National Grid (NG) investor relations material
National Grid Investor update summary
Complete event summary combining all related documents: earnings call transcript, report, and slide presentation.Strategic investment and growth plans
Announced a plan to invest at least £70 billion over the next five years, a 70% increase from the prior period, with about 85% allocated to green investments, to modernize and expand networks in the UK and US.
Investment will nearly double UK transmission capacity and increase US investments by almost 50%, supporting electrification, digitalization, and rising demand from sectors like data centers and healthcare.
Targeting group asset growth CAGR of around 10% and upgraded underlying EPS CAGR of 8%-10% from a FY26 baseline, with group assets expected to reach around £115 billion by FY31.
Dividend per share aimed to grow in line with UK CPIH inflation, maintaining a strong balance sheet and investment-grade credit rating.
Investment plan driven by decarbonisation, energy security, data centre demand, AI, and industrial electrification.
Regulatory and financial framework
Accepted Ofgem's RIIO-T3 price control, enabling investment at the required pace and scale, with improved protections over project cost recovery and enhanced Output Delivery Incentives (ODIs).
Price control supports delivery of overall return on equity above 9% across the period, with performance split more evenly between TOTEX and ODI incentives compared to T2.
Five-year framework based on pragmatic regulatory and performance assumptions, including updated FX rates and inflation expectations.
Leverage expected to rise to the high 60s by FY31, with significant unused hybrid debt capacity and no major hybrid issuance planned within the period.
No major impact from cost inflation on CapEx guidance; increase from £60bn to £70bn mainly reflects additional years and volume, not inflation.
Execution, efficiency, and delivery confidence
Enhanced delivery engine and supply chain de-risking measures, including new contractor partnerships and advanced procurement strategies.
Six ASTI projects in construction, six more to be submitted, and others in late-stage consultation, supported by planning reforms and internal capability development.
Regulatory incentives encourage efficiency, with cost savings shared between customers and the company.
U.S. CapEx plan reflects ongoing rate cases and affordability considerations, with continued focus on efficient deployment and strong recent rate case outcomes.
Portfolio optimization remains under review, but no significant asset disposals are assumed in the current funding plan.
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