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Organization of Football Prognostics S.A. (OPAP) investor relations material
Organization of Football Prognostics S.A. CMD 2025 summary
Complete event summary combining all related documents: earnings call transcript, report, and slide presentation.Strategic vision and transaction rationale
The combination creates the world's second-largest listed lottery and gaming operator by EBITDA, offering scale, diversification, and access to high-growth markets such as the U.S., Latin America, and emerging regions.
The transaction is an all-share combination, enabling public listing on the Athens Stock Exchange, better access to capital, and a streamlined group structure.
Shareholders benefit from exposure to a broader product portfolio, including lottery, sports betting, iGaming, and innovative offerings like daily fantasy sports via PrizePicks, with double-digit accretion to adjusted EPS and free cash flow per share in the first year post-completion.
The deal is expected to close in Q2 2026, subject to regulatory and antitrust approvals, and includes the acquisition of Novibet and PrizePicks to further strengthen the portfolio.
Minimum annual dividend of €1.00 per share from FY2026, with potential for special dividends and buybacks, and a target net leverage of ~2.5x.
Financial performance and guidance
Revenue, EBITDA, and free cash flow have grown at a 20% CAGR since 2019, with robust cash generation funding M&A, dividends, and deleveraging without external equity.
Pro forma EBITDA reached €1.9 billion in the 12 months to June 2025, with high margins and strong cash flow.
Financial guidance projects mid-20s consolidated net revenue growth in 2026 (boosted by acquisitions), low double-digit medium-term growth, and margin expansion to 40%+.
The combined company maintains a minimum €1 per share dividend, with potential for growth, special dividends, and buybacks, supported by diversified cash flows.
The business model is capital-light, with low capex intensity and a long-dated, diversified funding profile.
Growth levers and business development
Organic growth is driven by customer focus, digitalization, product innovation, and omnichannel strategies, with retail and online channels both showing resilience.
Inorganic growth targets bolt-on acquisitions in technology, content, and new verticals, exemplified by PrizePicks and IWG, enhancing platform capabilities and market reach.
Betano and PrizePicks provide exposure to fast-growing online sports betting and DFS segments, with Betano holding the #1 position in Brazil and PrizePicks leading the US DFS market.
North America is a key growth region, with PrizePicks leading in daily fantasy sports and IWG dominating e-instants, both showing high margins and rapid expansion.
The U.K. National Lottery is undergoing a tech transformation, with expectations for improved growth, margins, and cash flow as investments take effect.
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