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Serco Group (SRP) investor relations material

Serco Group Trading Update summary

Complete event summary combining all related documents: earnings call transcript, report, and slide presentation.
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Trading Update summary17 Dec, 2025

Financial performance and guidance

  • 2025 revenue expected at approximately £4.9bn, up 3% at constant currency, with 1% organic growth and underlying operating profit around £270m, exceeding prior guidance.

  • Free cash flow guidance for 2025 increased to £170m, with leverage at about 0.9x net debt to EBITDA.

  • 2026 revenue projected at around £5.0bn, with improved organic growth of 3% and underlying operating profit guidance of £300m, targeting a 6% margin.

  • Adjusted net debt expected to decrease to ~£150m by end of 2026, with trading cash conversion in line with the 80%+ medium-term target.

Operational and strategic highlights

  • Order intake for 2025 is strong at about £5.5bn, with a book-to-bill ratio of at least 110%, and two-thirds of awards in defence, mainly in the UK and North America.

  • Pipeline has reached a new decade high, driven by demand for critical front-line services in complex environments.

  • Successful integration of MT&S, disposal of Hong Kong business, and mobilisation of Mubadala joint venture in the Middle East.

  • Major contract wins include HMP Dovegate (UK), Canada's Future Aircrew Training Programme, and justice transport services in Victoria, Australia.

Operational excellence and leadership

  • Achieved a 20% reduction in colleague safety incidents, fewer lost days, improved attrition, and maintained strong engagement and customer retention.

  • New CEOs appointed for North America and UK & Europe, bringing international experience and a focus on growth.

How will defence sector growth impact 2026 margin?
Future capital allocation priorities post-buyback
Detail 2026 margin drivers beyond MT&S integration
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Frequently asked questions

Serco Group plc is a British company that delivers public services. The company mainly derives its income as a contractor for the provision of government services, most prominently in the sectors of health, transport, justice, immigration, space, defence and citizens services. Serco provides its services across four regions: UK & Europe, North America, Asia Pacific and Middle East. The company is headquartered in Hook, Hampshire, England, and was founded in 1929.

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