South Bow
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South Bow (SOBO) investor relations material

South Bow Q4 2025 earnings summary

Complete event summary combining all related documents: earnings call transcript, report, and slide presentation.
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Q4 2025 earnings summary6 Mar, 2026

Executive summary

  • Delivered financial results slightly ahead of expectations in 2025, demonstrating resilience and disciplined decision-making.

  • Achieved zero recordable case rate in 2025, progressing major projects and remedial actions after the MP-171 incident.

  • Advanced the Blackrod Connection Project to completion, placed into commercial service on time and on budget, expected to boost cash flows in late 2026 and 2027.

  • Progressed remedial actions on Milepost 171, prioritizing system integrity and regulatory compliance.

  • Focused on balancing growth, financial discipline, and sustainable shareholder returns.

Financial highlights

  • 2025 revenue was $1,986 million, down from $2,120 million in 2024; Q4 revenue was $503 million.

  • Net income for 2025 was $433 million ($2.07/share), up from $316 million ($1.52/share) in 2024.

  • Normalized EBITDA reached $1.022 billion in 2025, slightly above the $1.01 billion guidance, but down from $1.091 billion in 2024.

  • Distributable Cash Flow was $709 million, over 30% above original guidance and up from $621 million in 2024.

  • Returned $416 million ($2 per share) to shareholders via dividends.

Outlook and guidance

  • Reaffirmed 2026 financial outlook, expecting continued strength as Blackrod cash flows ramp up in the second half.

  • 2026 normalized EBITDA projected at ~$1.03 billion, with 90% secured through committed arrangements.

  • Guidance incorporates limited spot volume growth until pressure restrictions on Keystone are lifted, expected by end of 2026.

  • Market for incremental spot movements anticipated to open in early 2027 as basin growth overtakes egress.

  • Net debt-to-normalized EBITDA ratio expected to decrease modestly through 2026.

Commercial support for the Hardisty open season
Repeatability of the 2025 effective tax rate
Status of PHMSA pressure restriction removals
Keystone pressure restriction lifting timeline
Prairie Connector competitive advantages
Criteria for future dividend increases
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