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Yara International (YAR) investor relations material
Yara International Pre-Close Call Presentation summary
Complete event summary combining all related documents: earnings call transcript, report, and slide presentation.
Pre-quarter information and communication
Pre-quarter information is published to ensure equal access to relevant data for modeling the upcoming quarter.
No guidance is provided on total financial results, but sensitivities and targets for specific activities may be shared.
An outside-in model estimates EBITDA based on key market prices and published sensitivities, excluding quarter-specific adjustments.
The outside-in model is not intended as financial guidance, as actual results may differ due to various factors.
All pre-quarter information is made public before pre-quarter calls, and no non-public information is shared during these calls.
Market prices and outside-in model
Ammonia and urea prices increased in 3Q25 compared to 3Q24, with urea FOB Egypt averaging $474/t versus $357/t last year.
Natural gas prices and currency rates are key variables, with updated sensitivities provided for modeling.
Gas cost guidance for 3Q25 reflects a -$62M impact compared to forward curves.
Fertilizer prices remain high, impacting farmer affordability and demand.
Key market and operational considerations
Seasonally strong European orderbook going into 3Q25, suggesting a two-month price lag on nitrates.
High fertilizer prices and soft crop prices are pressuring farmer economics and premiums.
Cost reduction programs have reduced fixed costs, with further focus on efficiency.
Third-party product margins in Brazil have normalized after a positive impact in 3Q24.
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