New Gold (NGD) 2025 BMO Global Metals, Mining & Critical Minerals Conference Presentation summary
Event summary combining transcript, slides, and related documents.
2025 BMO Global Metals, Mining & Critical Minerals Conference Presentation summary
12 Aug, 2025Investment highlights and financial outlook
Forecasts 35% gold and 90% copper production growth over the next three years, with gold output averaging over 400,000 ounces annually and copper nearly doubling by 2027.
All-in sustaining costs (AISC) expected to decline by 64-65%, expanding margins to over $2,000/oz by 2027.
Cumulative free cash flow projected at approximately $1.7 billion over three years, with a strong liquidity position of $105 million in cash and $482 million in total liquidity.
Exploration budget of $30 million in 2025, targeting 100,000 meters of drilling for mine life extension and high-grade growth.
Major projects at both Rainy River and New Afton are nearing completion, de-risking the operational outlook.
Operational performance and project execution
2024 saw strong free cash flow generation, with $85 million generated and the inflection point reached a quarter ahead of target.
Key milestones at New Afton's C-Zone and Rainy River's Underground Main were completed ahead of schedule and on budget.
Rainy River's gold production averaged 226,000 ounces in 2024, with a reserve mine life to 2033; New Afton produced 73,000 ounces of gold and 54 million pounds of copper, with a reserve mine life to 2031.
Rainy River's capital expenditures are set to decrease by 50% over the next three years, driving margin expansion.
New Afton increased its free cash flow interest to 80.1% after reducing Ontario Teachers' interest.
Asset-specific guidance and development
Rainy River expects gold production of 265,000–295,000 ounces in 2025, with higher output and lower costs in the second half as stripping and underground development progress.
Rainy River's Phase 5 open pit expansion extends mine life to 2028, with underground production ramping up and gold feed grades expected to rise significantly.
Rainy River's 2025 exploration budget is $13 million, focused on near-surface and high-grade underground targets to support mill capacity beyond 2029.
New Afton targets stable 14,000 tpd throughput in 2025, with C-Zone ramp-up and East Extension development advancing.
New Afton’s capital costs are expected to drop significantly after 2026, with strong margins from low operating costs of ~$30/t.
Latest events from New Gold
- Strong Q2 cash flow and project progress set up higher H2 production and lower costs.NGD
Q2 20242 Feb 2026 - Record Q3 free cash flow and revenue achieved, with costs trending to the low end of guidance.NGD
Q3 202417 Jan 2026 - Q1 saw strong free cash flow, higher revenue, and full New Afton consolidation, supporting growth.NGD
Q1 202529 Dec 2025 - Record revenue, cost discipline, and project advances set up major production and cash flow growth.NGD
Q4 202421 Dec 2025 - Production and free cash flow to surge as mine lives extend and costs decline.NGD
Guidance16 Dec 2025 - Record free cash flow and robust mine performance support 2025 guidance achievement.NGD
Q2 202516 Nov 2025 - $7B merger forms a $20B North American mining leader with top cash flow, closing H1 2026.NGD
M&A Announcement3 Nov 2025 - Record Q3 production and free cash flow, with annual guidance reaffirmed and debt reduced.NGD
Q3 202530 Oct 2025 - Production growth, cost reductions, and strong free cash flow drive value and mine life extension.NGD
Scotiabank Mining Conference 2024 Presentation12 Aug 2025