TD Cowen 10th Annual Future of the Consumer Conference
Logotype for Valvoline Inc

Valvoline (VVV) TD Cowen 10th Annual Future of the Consumer Conference summary

Event summary combining transcript, slides, and related documents.

Logotype for Valvoline Inc

TD Cowen 10th Annual Future of the Consumer Conference summary

3 Jun, 2026

Business overview and strategy

  • Now a pure-play automotive services company with over 2,400 stores and 40 years in quick lube, focusing on scaling, innovation, and customer needs.

  • Largest quick lube operator in North America, performing over 30 million services annually and achieving 19 years of same-store sales growth.

  • Competitive advantages include scale, a tenured leadership team, long-standing franchise partners, and a strong customer experience with high NPS and Google ratings.

  • Franchise partners have committed $1 billion in capital for growth over five years, reflecting confidence in returns.

  • SuperPro process and 270 hours of technician training drive consistency and customer satisfaction.

Financial performance and growth outlook

  • Medium-term targets through 2028: 3%-5% comp growth, ~7% store growth, 9%-11% top-line growth, low to mid-teens EBITDA growth, and 100-200 bps EBITDA margin expansion.

  • Recent quarters saw comp growth above 8%, driven by both transaction and ticket growth, with premiumization and pricing contributing.

  • Customer behavior remains stable with no significant trade-downs or deferrals; coupon usage is steady or slightly down.

  • Pricing actions have offset cost increases from rising base oil prices, with centralized systems enabling quick adjustments.

  • Margin impact from cost increases is modest, and ongoing efficiency initiatives are expected to support further margin improvement.

Breeze acquisition and integration

  • Breeze acquisition closed December 1; integration is ahead of schedule with strong cultural alignment and early SG&A synergies.

  • Conversion of Breeze stores to the brand is underway, expected to take a couple of years.

  • Breeze stores currently generate $1-1.1M AUV, with a plan to ramp to $1.8M over 3-4 years as they mature.

  • Early performance is above expectations, with less margin compression than anticipated.

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