Volvo Group (VOLV) Q1 2025 earnings summary

Executive summary

• Net sales for Q1 2025 declined 7% year-over-year to SEK 121.8–122 billion, with adjusted operating income at SEK 13.3 billion and a margin of 10.9%.

• Earnings per share dropped to SEK 4.86, and operating cash flow in Industrial Operations was SEK 1.3 billion.

• Order intake improved across all business areas, with strong market share gains in Europe and resilient service business performance.

• Service business grew 2% year-over-year (adjusted for divestment and currency), with service revenues at SEK 129–129.2 billion on a rolling 12-month basis.

• Net cash position in Industrial Operations was SEK 77.9 billion at quarter end.

Financial highlights

• Net sales: SEK 121.8–122 billion, down 7% year-over-year.

• Adjusted operating income: SEK 13.3 billion (margin 10.9%).

• Free/operating cash flow: SEK 1.3 billion, impacted by lower operating income and higher investments.

• Earnings per share: SEK 4.86.

• Return on capital employed (industrial operations): 31.8%.

Outlook and guidance

• North America truck market forecast for 2025 reduced to 275,000 units; Europe forecast at 290,000 units; Brazil slightly reduced; India and China revised upward.

• Construction equipment: Europe and Asia expected flat, North America guided to -10% to -15% for 2025.

• Market forecasts are subject to significant uncertainty due to tariffs, trade tensions, and economic conditions.

• Currency headwinds expected to negatively impact earnings for the full year.

• Short-term focus on adapting regional value chains and mitigating tariff effects.