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Alstom (ALO) investor relations material

Alstom Q4 25/26 TU earnings summary

Complete event summary combining all related documents: earnings call transcript, report, and slide presentation.
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Q4 25/26 TU earnings summary16 Apr, 2026

Executive summary

  • Organic sales grew 7% year-over-year, with sales reaching €19.2 billion, but margin improvement was not achieved due to execution issues in rolling stock and project ramp-up, despite record commercial activity and a backlog exceeding €100 billion.

  • Order intake reached a record €27.6 billion for FY 2025/26, with a book-to-bill ratio of 1.4.

  • Adjusted EBIT margin declined to around 6%, impacted by slower progress on large rolling stock projects and below previous guidance.

  • Free cash flow was approximately €330 million, within guidance but down from €502 million last year.

  • Leadership transition with new CEO focusing on operational changes, tighter execution, and a review of the industrial transformation plan.

Financial highlights

  • Orders received increased 39% year-over-year, with Q4 orders at €7.6 billion, and a book-to-bill ratio of 1.4 for both rolling stock and services.

  • Sales totaled €19.2 billion, up 4% reported and 7% organically year-over-year after adjusting for currency and scope.

  • Adjusted EBIT margin was around 6%, down from 6.4% last year and below previous guidance of ~7%.

  • Free cash flow was €330 million for FY 2025/26, within guidance.

  • Net debt stood at around €400 million at year-end, with a gross cash position of €2.3 billion.

Outlook and guidance

  • Commercial activity expected to remain strong with a book-to-bill above 1 for 2026/2027.

  • Organic sales growth guided at around 5% for the next fiscal year.

  • Adjusted EBIT margin expected to improve to around 6.5% in 2026/2027, driven by gross margin rebound.

  • Positive free cash flow anticipated for 2026/2027, despite strong seasonality and a projected €1.5 billion outflow in H1.

  • Withdrawal of three-year cumulative €1.5 billion free cash flow guidance and medium-term EBIT margin ambition of 8-10% for FY 2026/27.

Drivers for the YoY car production drop
Impact of margin miss on 3-year FCF guidance
Utilization of Revolving Credit Facility lines
Explain the EUR 1.5bn H1 cash outflow drivers
Address rolling stock planning discipline issues
Assess H1 cash burn impact on Baa3 credit rating
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