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Cameco (CCJ) investor relations material
Cameco Goldman Sachs Energy, CleanTech & Utilities Conference summary
Complete event summary combining all related documents: earnings call transcript, report, and slide presentation.Industry trends and macro developments
Nuclear energy has shifted from post-Fukushima isolation to being central in climate, energy, and national security discussions, driven by global events and energy needs.
2025 saw a pivotal $80 billion U.S. government initiative to kickstart AP1000 reactor builds, signaling renewed domestic nuclear investment.
Global demand forecasts understate true nuclear fuel needs, as they exclude upcoming projects and new uses like generative AI.
Supply is often overestimated due to confusion between early-stage projects and actual operating capacity, widening the supply-demand gap.
Inventory drawdowns since 2012 have left the market with historically low mobile uranium supplies, increasing vulnerability to shocks.
Company strategy and business model
The business model is positioned to benefit from new reactor builds, creating long-term demand for fuel and services.
Maintains supply discipline, with 30% of production curtailed, waiting for higher prices and robust contracting cycles.
Prefers market-related uranium contracts with floors and ceilings, with recent deals indicating three-digit uranium pricing.
Overcontracting strategy allows flexibility to buy in the spot market and influence price discovery.
Focuses on standardization, sequencing, and simplification to deliver large-scale nuclear projects efficiently.
Market outlook and forward-looking statements
2026 is expected to see final investment decisions (FID) on AP1000s in Poland and Bulgaria, with strong signals for further U.S. and international builds.
Anticipates a robust uranium contracting cycle as sovereign demand returns and utilities address long-term fuel needs.
U.S. government aims for 10 large reactors under construction by 2030, requiring orders for long lead items and site selection in 2026.
International opportunities include potential AP1000 deployments in Canada, with a strategic choice between legacy CANDU and new light water technology.
Current supply chain can support launching four reactors per year, with scalability dependent on further investment.
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