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Danske Bank (DANSKE) investor relations material
Danske Bank Pre-Close Call summary
Complete event summary combining all related documents: earnings call transcript, report, and slide presentation.
Executive summary
Macroeconomic optimism is rising in the euro area, with inflation under control and reduced downside risk from the EU-US trade deal.
Nordic economies are improving, except Sweden, which faces high inflation and weak growth; Denmark's GDP growth forecast for 2025 was revised to 1.8% due to statistical changes and lower pharmaceutical exports.
Danish economy remains robust with high employment, record current account surplus, and strong government finances.
Trading performance and revenue trends
Lending volumes show modest improvement, especially in corporate lending; retail lending is recovering slightly.
Fee income is dampened by low consumer sentiment and seasonality, with investment fees supported by strong AUM momentum through August.
Remortgaging/refinancing fee income is expected to be immaterial in Q3 but will increase significantly in Q4 due to the refinancing calendar.
Trading income is supported by constructive market conditions, spread compression, and lower volatility in the Danish mortgage market.
Profitability and margins
Q3 has one additional interest day versus Q2, estimated to add DKK 75 million.
Interest rate sensitivity remains: a 25bp cut across all currencies impacts NII by -DKK 650 million, while a 25bp hike adds DKK 450 million.
Most interest rate sensitivity is to DKK and euro.
Other income remains at a lower run rate due to reduced asset finance contributions.
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