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Danske Bank (DANSKE) investor relations material
Danske Bank Pre-Close Call summary
Complete event summary combining all related documents: earnings call transcript, report, and slide presentation.Executive summary
Macroeconomic outlook in the Nordics remains positive, with growth expected to improve in 2026, supported by rising real incomes and investments.
Danish economy shows solid fundamentals: low unemployment, growing real wages, and potential for increased consumption if confidence improves.
No direct Q4 impact from recent ECB or Nordic central bank rate changes; policy rates expected to remain stable through 2026.
Trading performance and revenue trends
Net interest income in Q4 will benefit from a non-recurring DKK 0.2 billion tax-related gain.
Lending volumes remained stable in Q4; day effect estimated at DKK 65–70 million.
Fee income diversified, with Q4 performance fees in asset management expected to be in line with prior years; refinancing fees slightly higher than Q3.
Primary capital markets activity subdued in Q4, especially ECM and M&A.
Customer-driven trading income expected to be seasonally lower in Q4.
Profitability and margins
Danica insurance will record a DKK 200 million negative P&L effect in Q4, pushing full-year net insurance income below guidance.
Other income remains at a lower run rate due to reduced asset finance contributions.
Full-year costs expected just below DKK 26 billion; seasonal cost increase in Q4.
Loan impairments for the year guided at no more than DKK 600 million.
No other significant one-off items expected in Q4 beyond Danica's provision.
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