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doValue (DOV) investor relations material
doValue CMD 2026 summary
Complete event summary combining all related documents: earnings call transcript, report, and slide presentation.Delivery since the 2024 plan
March 2024 targets of €480m–€490m revenue and €185m–€190m EBITDA were exceeded; LTM June 2026 revenue reached €769m and EBITDA €277m.
Since 2023, gross revenue rose 60% and EBITDA 55%; non-NPE revenue reached 53%, versus 25% in 2023 and 30%–35% targeted in the prior plan.
Two major acquisitions expanded the platform from four countries to 14; leverage was 3.1x LTM, with a 0.5x reduction linked to a portfolio sale committed for year-end.
Debt maturities shifted to 2030 and 2031 from 2025 and 2026; spreads declined to 231 bps at June 2026 from 492 bps previously.
The €12m 2025 dividend target was exceeded, with €17.5m paid as leverage finished below 2.8x.
Business platform and 2026 outlook
Asset-light platform combines complex secured NPE servicing and digital, file-based collections; manages €132bn of loan GBV, serves 140+ clients and handles ~10m new digital collection files annually, with no direct credit exposure.
LTM June 2026 revenue was €769m, EBITDA €277m excluding non-recurring items and free cash flow €65m; revenue mix was 53% NPE, 29% digital collections and 18% VAS.
2026 pro forma guidance was revised to €770m–€790m revenue and €270m–€290m EBITDA, from previous guidance of ~€800m and ~€300m; post-dividend net leverage is forecast at 2.4x–2.6x.
Revised guidance reflects softer Italian collections and new business intake; coeo continues to outperform, while the Hellenic region and Spain remain in line with expectations.
Guidance assumes the year-end digital collections portfolio sale; EBITDA excludes non-recurring items and portfolio-sale accounting impacts.
Market outlook and expansion
Southern European NPE AUM is estimated at €380bn–€400bn; AUM is forecast to decline ~5% annually through 2029, versus ~2% annual NPE revenue decline as newer NPL and UTP flows collect more than legacy portfolios.
Southern European NPE servicing revenue is projected to stabilize at €1.7bn–€1.8bn in 2029 from €1.8bn in 2026; assumptions exclude recession, rate shock or material default deterioration.
The plan assumes €4bn of new NPE mandates annually, or €12bn over 2027–2029, while holding market share; more than 80% of 2029 NPE revenue is protected, with at least six large mandates expiring by 2029.
Digital collections offer a €4bn annual Southern European opportunity through 2029; the European revenue pool is estimated at €4.1bn, while BNPL growth forecasts range from 7%–12% to 15%–20% CAGR across cited assessments.
Expansion priorities include existing coeo markets and clients, Southern Europe and selective bolt-ons; France and the US are outside the base plan.
- Q2 revenue up 30% YoY to €181m, digital and coeo drive growth, EBITDA guidance reaffirmed.DOV
Q2 2026 - High-growth, asset-light platform with strong cash generation and expanding digital services.DOV
Investor presentation - Q1 EBITDA ex NRIs €35M, revenue down 14.9% YoY, leverage 2.3x, coeo acquisition completed.DOV
Q1 2026 - EBITDA ex-NRI up 32% YoY, net income ex-NRI tripled, and leverage improved to 2.0x.DOV
Q4 2025 - Record revenue and EBITDA growth, strong cash flow, and digital expansion via coeo acquisition.DOV
Q2 2025 - Achieved €8bn new GBV, confirmed guidance, and advanced the Gardant acquisition.DOV
Q3 2024 - EBITDA and revenues declined, but net profit rose and Gardant acquisition advanced.DOV
Q2 2024 - Revenues up 46% YoY, EBITDA ex-NRI doubled, and new business GBV exceeded targets.DOV
Q1 2025 - 2024 targets exceeded with €10bn new GBV, €165m EBITDA ex-NRI, and improved leverage.DOV
Q4 2024
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