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FedEx (FDX) investor relations material

FedEx Baird 55th Annual Global Industrial Conference summary

Complete event summary combining all related documents: earnings call transcript, report, and slide presentation.
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Baird 55th Annual Global Industrial Conference summary11 Nov, 2025

Strategic transformation and market positioning

  • Over the past three years, the company has undergone significant transformation, reducing structural costs and evolving its network to be more flexible, agile, and intelligent, resulting in higher operating income even as revenue declined.

  • The shift to a unified operating model, "one FedEx," has replaced the previous structure of multiple independent operating companies, enhancing efficiency and value.

  • A major digital revolution began in 2020, leveraging vast logistics data and AI to create new applications and value for customers.

  • The company is positioned at the center of global supply chains, moving $2 trillion in commerce and connecting millions of shippers and consumers worldwide.

  • Leadership expresses optimism for the next several years, citing modernization, network transformation, and logistics intelligence as key drivers.

Navigating trade policy and global realignment

  • Rapid changes in global supply chain patterns are being tracked in real time, allowing quick adaptation to shifting demand, especially as trade flows move from Trans-Pacific to Intra-Asia and other regions.

  • The company leverages its extensive network and data to provide seamless customer experiences amid increased trade complexity, including advanced customs classification using GenAI.

  • Financially, a $1 billion profit headwind is expected from trade policy changes, with $700 million tied to lower international revenue, particularly from China to the U.S.

  • The recent U.S.-China trade deal brings some certainty, but no significant near-term network changes are planned; focus remains on managing headwinds and serving the industrial economy.

Peak season and operational updates

  • The team is fully prepared for peak season, expecting modest demand and a ramp-up in Amazon volume, with heavier-weight packages contributing to growth.

  • Sequential and year-over-year improvements are anticipated for Q2, with margin improvement at FEC and some margin contraction in freight due to industry pressures.

  • The grounding of MD-11 aircraft is being managed proactively, with inspections underway and alternative capacity leveraged to minimize disruption.

  • The company is utilizing its tricolor strategy and strong commercial partnerships to address airlift needs and maintain service levels.

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Frequently asked questions

All in a night's work

FedEx is a global logistics and transportation company that specializes in express delivery services. With a vast network spanning over 220 countries and territories, FedEx offers reliable and efficient shipping solutions for businesses and individuals worldwide. The company utilizes a combination of air and ground transportation, advanced technology, and logistics expertise to deliver packages and freight quickly and securely. FedEx's services include express shipping, ground transportation, international shipping, freight forwarding, and e-commerce solutions, serving as a vital link in the global supply chain.

A clear vision from the very beginning

FedEx, short for Federal Express, was founded by Frederick W. Smith in 1971. Smith, a Yale University graduate, conceived the idea of an overnight delivery service during his time at college. He envisioned a company that would revolutionize the logistics industry by providing fast, reliable, and efficient delivery of packages. To bring his vision to life, Smith secured $4 million in venture capital and officially launched FedEx on April 17, 1973, initially serving 25 cities in the United States.

From a small outfit to a behemoth of the courier industry

In its early years, FedEx faced significant challenges, including financial struggles and operational hurdles. However, the company persevered and gradually expanded its services and network, utilizing a hub-and-spoke model that centralized sorting and distribution. This approach allowed FedEx to streamline operations and deliver packages more efficiently. The introduction of the company's overnight delivery service in 1978 further propelled its growth.

Over the years, FedEx expanded its global presence through strategic acquisitions and organic growth, establishing itself as a leader in the international express shipping industry. Today, FedEx operates a vast network that spans across the globe, utilizing a fleet of aircraft, trucks, and advanced technologies to move millions of packages daily. The company offers a range of services, including express shipping, ground transportation, freight forwarding, and e-commerce solutions.

A deep moat

FedEx, as well as other shipping companies, possess a robust moat due to the significant barriers to entry and the complexity involved in building a global logistics network. The high capital requirements and economies of scale involved in establishing a comprehensive network that spans across countries and continents act as significant barriers to entry for potential competitors. Furthermore, shipping companies benefit from long-term contracts and established relationships with customers, built on reliability, efficiency, and trust.

The complex logistics and regulatory requirements, combined with the sheer volume of shipments handled, create a formidable moat for shipping companies, making it challenging for new entrants to replicate their scale, efficiency, and customer base. This in turn means that FedEx, UPS, and Deutsche Post (DHL) have formed what can be described as a triumvirate, handling a bulk of the world's courier logistics.

Other indirect competitors include companies such as Maersk, even if their focus is primarily on shipment through containers rather than traditional mail and packages.

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