Ferrovial
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Ferrovial (FER) investor relations material

Ferrovial Status update summary

Complete event summary combining all related documents: earnings call transcript, report, and slide presentation.
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Status update summary5 Oct, 2026

Commercial close and project scope

  • Commercial close with TDOT completed Sep. 30, 2026; TDOT selected the Drive TN consortium in August 2026, including Transurban and Tikehau Star Infra.

  • The 26-mile project between Nashville and Murfreesboro adds two Choice Lanes in each direction alongside four toll-free general-purpose lanes under a 50-year DBFOM concession, starting when operations begin.

  • Estimated construction cost is $9.2bn over eight years; first-phase service is targeted for 2034 and full service for 2035, with groundbreaking expected in early 2029.

  • Financial close is contractually due by July 2027 and expected earlier.

  • The project is Tennessee’s largest single capital investment and the state’s first public-private partnership.

Corridor demand and design

  • Nashville MSA population was 2.2m in 2025; regional population grew ~2% annually over the prior decade, 2015–24 real GDP CAGR was 4.6%, and median household income was $88.8k.

  • I-24 carries 150k–190k vehicles daily, with 8–11 hours of daily congestion, peak speeds below 20 mph and delays up to 36 minutes.

  • Freight, commuting, airport traffic and development support demand; heavy vehicles are 12%–16% of corridor traffic, and ~178m sq. ft. of development occurred along the corridor from 2020–26.

  • Forecast 2025–34 CAGRs are 1.0% for population, 2.1% for real income per capita and 2.8% for real GDP; capacity constraints, suppressed demand and gradual user adoption inform traffic assumptions.

  • Design connects 15 interchanges versus 7 in TDOT’s reference design and increases corridor coverage to 95% of in-scope trips; outside lanes and direct connectors aim to improve access and limit community impacts.

Pricing and operating framework

  • Dynamic tolling has a $1.60/mi soft cap and, at lower volumes, a $0.80/mi cap; rates escalate annually by the greater of 2.5% or the average of Tennessee GDP growth, U.S. CPI and 3%.

  • Uncapped pricing may be triggered by traffic above 1,500 passenger-car equivalents per lane per hour or speed below 55 mph; triggers apply by segment and may extend to the preceding segment.

  • Toll revenue sharing with TDOT begins above $3.20/mi: 50% from $3.20–$4.80, 25% from $4.80–$6.40 and 10% above $6.40; thresholds escalate.

  • Heavy-vehicle toll multiples range from 3x to 8x; operating assumptions draw on a 60-asset managed-lanes portfolio, with NTE 35W the closest comparable.

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Q3 202628 Oct, 2026
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