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Molina Healthcare (MOH) investor relations material
Molina Healthcare Q3 2025 earnings summary
Complete event summary combining all related documents: earnings call transcript, report, and slide presentation.Executive summary
Q3 2025 adjusted EPS was $1.84 on $10.8B premium revenue, with net income of $79M ($1.51 per share), both down sharply year-over-year due to elevated medical costs and interest expense, despite membership growth to 5.6M, driven by Marketplace and ConnectiCare acquisition.
Premium revenue rose 12% year-over-year to $10.8B, and total Q3 revenue reached $11.5B, up from $10.3B in Q3 2024.
Medicaid delivered strong margins despite cost pressures, while Marketplace underperformed due to high utilization and risk adjustment; Medicare also faced higher utilization and pharmacy costs.
Full-year 2025 adjusted EPS guidance was reduced to ~$14 (from $19), with premium revenue guidance raised to $42.5B; 2026 outlook anticipates revenue growth from new Medicaid contracts and a more conservative Marketplace strategy.
Significant events included the $350M ConnectiCare acquisition, new Medicaid contracts, loss of the Virginia contract, and share repurchases of 2.8M shares for $500M.
Financial highlights
Q3 2025 total revenue was $11.5B, with $10.8B premium revenue; operating income was $137M, down from $467M in Q3 2024.
Consolidated MCR was 92.6% (up from 89.2%); Medicaid MCR 92%, Medicare MCR 93.6%, Marketplace MCR 95.6%.
Adjusted G&A ratio for Q3 was 6.3%-6.4%; interest expense rose to $49M.
Q3 operating cash flow for the first nine months was an outflow of $237M, mainly due to Medicaid risk corridor and Marketplace risk transfer settlements.
Q3 2025 net income margin was 0.7%, pre-tax margin 0.8%, and after-tax margin 0.7% GAAP, 0.8% adjusted.
Outlook and guidance
Full-year 2025 premium revenue guidance raised to $42.5B; adjusted EPS now ~$14, with consolidated MCR at 91.3% and pre-tax margin at 2.1%.
Medicaid full-year MCR expected at 91.5% (pre-tax margin 3.2%), Medicare at 91.3% (break-even), Marketplace at 89.7% (negative margin).
2026 revenue target is $46B, with Medicaid performance annualized at $13 per share as a baseline; Marketplace pricing strategy aims to reduce exposure, with rate increases averaging 30% and a 20% reduction in county footprint.
Implied Q4 2025 adjusted EPS is ~$0.35, with Medicaid expected to contribute ~$3.00 per share, offset by losses in Medicare and Marketplace.
Preliminary 2026 outlook anticipates adjusted EPS similar to 2025, with reduced Marketplace exposure.
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