Phillips 66 (PSX) investor relations material

Impact of geopolitical events and market dynamics

• U.S.-based operations and access to domestic and Canadian crude provide resilience amid Middle East turmoil, limiting exposure to global volatility.

• Restricted crude access in Asia and Europe due to Middle East disruptions benefits U.S. producers, especially in chemicals, as global supply tightens.

• About 15-20% of petrochemical production is Middle East-based, but the majority is U.S. Gulf Coast, which is seeing some benefit from current dynamics.

• Elevated commodity prices could risk a global economic downturn, potentially impacting business performance despite relative U.S. strength.

Chemical and refining cycle outlook

• Global oversupply, especially from China, has kept margins low, but loss of discounted feedstocks for China may raise global price floors.

• U.S. Gulf Coast ethane crackers remain highly competitive, and a step change toward mid-cycle conditions is expected as supply-demand balances improve.

• The cyclical recovery in chemicals may accelerate if Asian producers face higher feedstock costs, but fundamental supply rationalization is still needed.

Organizational transformation and integration

• Shift from siloed business units to integrated decision-making has driven efficiency and improved profitability.

• Adoption of a unified bonus structure incentivizes enterprise-wide performance and collaboration.

• Centralizing refinery operations as a fleet has reduced costs per barrel, increased utilization, and improved earnings per barrel.

• Continued focus on integration is expected to unlock further market and operational opportunities.