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Protector Forsikring (PROT) investor relations material

Protector Forsikring Q3 2025 earnings summary

Complete event summary combining all related documents: earnings call transcript, report, and slide presentation.
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Q3 2025 earnings summary23 Oct, 2025

Executive summary

  • Q3 profit reached NOK 459m, with a combined ratio of 83.1% and EPS of 5.6; Q1–Q3 profit totaled NOK 1,916m, up from NOK 1,291m year-over-year.

  • Gross written premium (GWP) for Q3 was NOK 1,676m, up 1% (3% in local currencies); YTD GWP reached NOK 11,165m, up 16% (14% LCY).

  • Strong profitability in Q3, with underlying realities normalized for context.

  • Significant focus on AI adoption, involving all employees and leadership in development and utilization.

  • Ongoing investment in AI and data as core strategic priorities for 2025.

Financial highlights

  • Q3 profit was NOK 459m, down from NOK 581m in Q3 2024; YTD profit at NOK 1,916m.

  • Q3 EPS at 5.6 (vs. 7.1 last year); YTD EPS at 23.2.

  • Combined ratio improved to 83.1% in Q3 (83.2% last year); YTD combined ratio at 84.6% (89.5%).

  • Q3 investment return of NOK 117m (0.4%), with bonds yielding 5.0% before risk costs.

  • Cost ratio increased by over one percentage point, mainly due to salary-related bonuses and reclassification of French expenses.

Outlook and guidance

  • Continued investment in AI and data, with leadership development focused on AI through 2026.

  • Portfolio transfer for Danish workers' compensation is pending regulatory approval, with completion expected in Q4 2025.

  • Expectation of ongoing growth opportunities, especially in the UK and France, with French tenders for 2026 representing a market opportunity of ~€460m.

  • Anticipation of further volume in France, particularly from tenders in Q4.

  • Claims development and capital market volatility are key risks for 2025; technology investments are both a risk and opportunity.

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Frequently asked questions

The low-cost insurance alternative

Protector Forsikring is a young and fast-growing niche insurance provider. They focus on property and casualty insurance for large and medium-sized businesses in Norway, Sweden, Denmark, Finland, and the U.K. Since their establishment in 2004, their core business has been to have the lowest possible cost ratio. The low prices allow them to sell insurance at more attractive prices than competitors. 

The idea of Protector emerged from seeing big insurance players being fat and lazy, and sprawling in many segments. The company has grown fast and profitably since its inception in 2004. They entered the Swedish market in 2011 and the Danish one year after. And in 2016, they entered Finland and the UK. Protector sees most of its future growth coming from markets outside of Norway. Some of Protector’s competitors include Gjensidige, Sampo, and Tryg.

Weathering headwinds

The last few years have been a bumpy ride. The Norwegian insurer has faced several challenges, like increasing price pressure, poor underwriting discipline in Norway and Denmark, higher-than-expected claims inflation in the motor segment, and two edge cases on the risk side. However, Protector has weathered these headwinds by raising prices, adopting a better underwriting discipline, and focusing more on cost management and capital allocation, which has really turned the company around. 

The company is considered the leading insurance advisor within municipal insurance and insures over 600 municipalities and counties in the Scandinavian market. The customer base consists of, among others, the leading actor in the Nordics within parcel- and logistics services and numerous healthcare providers.

In-house IT systems

Since its inception, Protector has built all its IT systems in-house, contributing to them being a low-cost operator today - with a cost ratio of 1 percent, compared to the industry average of 3.2 percent.

Roughly 15 percent of the AUM consists of equity investments - currently around 20 businesses. The equity portfolio has historically returned over 19 percent per annum. 

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