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Talen Energy Corporation (TLNE) investor relations material
Talen Energy Corporation Investor Update summary
Complete event summary combining all related documents: earnings call transcript, report, and slide presentation.
Strategic and financial highlights
Market capitalization has more than doubled, driven by value creation, execution on long-term contracts, and major acquisitions, with a focus on being a pure-play independent power producer in PJM and significant data center opportunities.
Share repurchase program increased to $2 billion and extended through 2028, with $2 billion already returned to shareholders, representing 23% of shares outstanding.
Acquisitions of Freedom and Guernsey plants will add approximately 3 GW of capacity, diversify the fleet, expand into Ohio, and are expected to drive about 50% Adjusted Free Cash Flow per share accretion.
Balance sheet strengthened by asset sales, refinancing, and index inclusions, including the S&P 400 and NASDAQ listings.
Value creation is centered on Adjusted Free Cash Flow per share growth, supported by long-term AWS PPA and accretive acquisitions.
Contracting and growth levers
Secured a 17-year, $18 billion notional PPA with Amazon Web Services, providing stable, long-term cash flows and step-function growth post-2028.
AWS PPA ramps from 120 MW in 2025 to 240 MW in mid-2026 and 480 MW by mid-2028, with flexibility for further acceleration.
Additional upside from accelerating AWS contract ramp, new data center PPAs, and accretive M&A, with potential for 40%+ incremental per-share growth by 2028.
Ongoing focus on converting merchant megawatts to contracted megawatts for greater cash flow stability.
Platform positioned to meet hyperscaler needs for speed to market, gigawatt-scale sites, long-term contracts, and low-carbon power.
Financial guidance and projections
2026 adjusted EBITDA midpoint raised to $1.9 billion, up $600 million from prior outlook; adjusted free cash flow midpoint at $1.08 billion.
2026–2028 guidance projects Adjusted EBITDA of $1.75–2.29 billion and Adjusted Free Cash Flow of $980 million–$1.43 billion, with annual FCF/share growth of about 35%.
Free cash flow per share expected to grow 35% through 2028, with 2026 midpoint at $23.60, 2027 at $27.10, and 2028 at $27.40+.
Cash tax rates expected to remain low (2-3% of EBITDA) through the decade due to tax reform and accelerated depreciation.
O&M and capital expenditures projected at $655 million and $290 million in 2026, decreasing slightly in 2027.
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