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Veracyte (VCYT) investor relations material

Veracyte Stephens Annual Investment Conference summary

Complete event summary combining all related documents: earnings call transcript, report, and slide presentation.
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Stephens Annual Investment Conference summary20 Nov, 2025

Financial performance and operational highlights

  • Q3 revenue exceeded $131 million, up 14%, with testing business growing 17% and Decipher achieving its 14th consecutive quarter of 25%+ growth, driven by new launches and increased physician ordering.

  • Afirma volumes rose 13% in the quarter, supported by both new and deeper account penetration, while cost efficiencies from the V2 transcriptome improved margins and workflow.

  • Achieved 30% adjusted EBITDA in Q3, surpassing expectations and leading to increased full-year guidance for both revenue and adjusted EBITDA, with a target to sustain 25%+ adjusted EBITDA in future years.

  • Transition to the V2 transcriptome is expected to be complete by year-end, with full benefits realized next year, including higher test success rates and margin improvements.

  • Capital allocation remains focused on internal growth drivers, with M&A as a secondary priority; cash position expected near $400 million with no debt.

Market penetration, product adoption, and growth drivers

  • Decipher market is about 40% penetrated, with uniform adoption across NCCN risk groups and further demand expected as new indications and guidelines evolve.

  • Afirma market penetration is estimated at 65%, with a goal to reach 80% share, driven by both penetration and share gains, especially in B3/B4 patient segments.

  • New account maturity and strong customer support are key to increasing physician and practice-level adoption, with both number of ordering physicians and orders per practice trending upward.

  • NCCN guideline updates and evidence from clinical trials have provided tailwinds for Decipher and Afirma, though the impact is intertwined with broader evidence dissemination.

  • Prosigna LDT launch is planned for mid-2026, with commercial efforts ramping up, focusing on KOL engagement and collaboration ahead of the OPTIMA trial readout.

Innovation, competitive positioning, and future initiatives

  • Digital pathology and AI are seen as complementary to transcriptomic testing, with ongoing validation and integration efforts to ensure robust clinical utility.

  • Decipher remains the preferred test among physicians due to strong validation, with studies showing significant discordance with competing digital pathology solutions.

  • MRD assay for muscle invasive bladder cancer to launch in the first half of next year, targeting post-cystectomy patients, with further annual indication expansions planned.

  • MRD platform expected to reach 25% adjusted EBITDA over time, with initial gross margin pressure offset by scale, pricing, and leveraging existing sales channels.

  • Investments continue in multi-omic platforms, digital pathology, and cloud infrastructure to enhance data integration and product development.

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Veracyte, Inc. develops and commercializes blood tests for the early detection of lung cancer and emphysema. The company offers Veracyte Drug Screening Assay and Veracyte Acute Exacerbation Panel (V-AEP) for the detection of Lung Cancer and Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease (COPD). Its drug screening assays are based on a proprietary approach of analyzing patient genomic data to predict which patients are most likely to have cancer after receiving a lung CT scan. The company markets its products through direct sales force, as well as through clinical laboratory partners, medical practitioners, and directly to patients.

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