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Vista Energy (VISTAA) investor relations material
Vista Energy Investor Day 2025 summary
Complete event summary combining all related documents: earnings call transcript, report, and slide presentation.Investor Day 2025 summary12 Nov, 2025
Strategic vision and growth targets
Production is set to increase from 114,000 BOE/day in 2025 to 180,000 by 2028, with a 2030 vision of over 200,000 BOE/day, 33% above previous forecasts and representing a 3x increase since 2021.
Adjusted EBITDA is projected to reach $2.8B by 2028, with a 21% CAGR and average margin of ~65%.
Cumulative free cash flow of $1.5B is expected between 2026-2028, rising to $1.5B per year by 2030, providing flexibility for shareholder returns and selective M&A.
Export-driven model will see export revenues double to $3.2B by 2028, with oil exports comprising up to 75% of total volumes.
Growth is fully self-funded, with all required drilling, completion, and export capacity secured, and aligned with global energy trends.
Operational excellence and innovation
Well inventory increased to over 1,300 ready-to-drill wells, supporting at least 10 years of development, with a total inventory of 1,653 wells.
Drilling and completion costs reduced from $14.2M per well in 2024 to $12.3M, targeting $11M by 2028 through technology and process optimization.
Productivity of new wells consistently outperforms Vaca Muerta and Permian averages, with 24-72% higher output, and successful pilots unlocked 180 new wells.
Real-time AI-driven completion optimization and bulk wet sand logistics have delivered significant cost savings and industry-leading well productivity.
Plan to tie in 80-90 wells per year from 2026-2028, requiring $1.5-$1.6B CAPEX annually.
Financial discipline and shareholder returns
ROSI and ROACE expected to remain above 20%, among the highest in the E&P sector.
Net leverage ratio to decline from 1.5x to below 1x by 2028, with gross debt stable, average maturity of 4.5 years, and average cost of debt at 6.7%.
Free cash flow to equity ranges from $13-$19/BOE at Brent $60-$70, with break-even Brent price for free cash flow neutrality dropping to $45 by 2028.
Capital allocation prioritizes share buybacks and dividends, with flexibility for synergetic M&A in Vaca Muerta.
Business model is resilient to oil price volatility, with robust free cash flow generation even in lower price scenarios.
What specific innovations drive D&C cost to $11M
How does Decree 929 impact FCF distribution
How to sustain well productivity with new inventory
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Next Vista Energy earnings date
Q4 202520 Feb, 2026
Next Vista Energy earnings date
Q4 202520 Feb, 2026
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Frequently asked questions
Vista Energy S.A.B. de C.V. is an oil and gas company primarily engaged in the exploration and production of oil and gas in Latin America. The company's main activities include owning and operating assets in the Neuquina basin in Argentina, including the Vaca Muerta shale formation, which is a significant shale oil and gas play. Vista Energy also has producing assets in Argentina and Mexico. Additionally, the company is involved in drilling and workover activities, primarily located in Argentina. The company is headquartered in Mexico City, Mexico, and its shares are listed on the New York Stock Exchange.
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