ConocoPhillips (COP) Guidance presentation summary
Event summary combining transcript, slides, and related documents.
Guidance presentation summary
2 Oct, 2026Annual sensitivities
Brent sensitivity: ~$65–75MM impact on net income and cash flow for a $1/bbl change, on an annualized basis.
Annualized sensitivities use $1/bbl changes for Brent, ANS, WTI, WCS and NA NGL, and $0.25/mcf changes for Henry Hub and international gas; actual quarterly results can vary with lift timing and portfolio shifts.
NA NGL sensitivity assumes a representative blend with 43% ethane, 31% propane, 10% n-butane, 6% isobutane and 10% natural gas; Henry Hub sensitivity assumes 80% realization.
Production and operating guidance
FY26 production guidance of 2.295–2.325 MMBOED; 3Q26 guidance of 2.290–2.320 MMBOED, with full-year guidance unchanged.
Turnaround impacts: ~20 MBOED in 3Q from Alaska, Malaysia and Norway, and ~20 MBOED in 4Q from Equatorial Guinea.
Financial guidance
FY26 DD&A guidance of $11.7–11.9B; adjusted corporate and other segment net loss of ~$0.9B; adjusted operating costs of ~$10.2B.
FY26 capital expenditure guidance of $12.0–12.5B; 1Q26 and 2Q26 actuals were $2.9B and $3.0B, respectively.
Estimated 3Q26 and FY26 effective tax rate of ~35–37%.
Latest events from ConocoPhillips
- Higher prices lifted adjusted earnings to $3.918B, with $3.4B returned to shareholders.COP
Q3 2026 - Record FY23 production supported $11.0B in returns despite lower prices and earnings.COP
Q4 2023 - Q2 2026 net income surged to $3.9B, with strong cash flow, asset sales, and shareholder returns.COP
Q2 2026 - FY26 guidance targets 2.3 MMBOED production and $12B+ capex, with strong Brent price sensitivity.COP
Guidance presentation - Board elections, auditor ratification, and executive pay passed; separation of roles rejected.COP
AGM 2026 - Q1 2026 saw $1.89 EPS, $2.0B shareholder returns, and strong project progress amid market volatility.COP
Q1 2026 - Strong 2025 results, robust governance, and ESG progress; board opposes independent chairman proposal.COP
Proxy filing - Earnings fell on lower prices, but $9B was returned to shareholders and production grew.COP
Q4 2025 - Q3 net income fell to $2.1B as lower prices offset record production and capital returns.COP
Q3 2024