DraftKings (DKNG) Morgan Stanley Technology, Media & Telecom Conference summary
Event summary combining transcript, slides, and related documents.
Morgan Stanley Technology, Media & Telecom Conference summary
16 Dec, 2025Business performance and growth targets
Revenue has grown at over 50% CAGR in the past three years, with EBITDA moving from a $700M loss to a $1B target for this year.
By 2028, the company projects $2.1B in EBITDA from existing states and is currently ahead of schedule on revenue growth.
Customer acquisition and efficiency in CAC reached record levels last year, with continued strong performance in both new and existing states.
Hold rate improvements and favorable bet mix, especially in NFL and NBA, have contributed to exceeding growth projections.
2025 targets include $6.45B in revenue and $900M in EBITDA, driven by handle growth, customer acquisition, hold rate, and promotional strategies.
Product innovation and customer engagement
Live betting now accounts for about 50% of sports volume, with acquisitions like Simplebet enhancing offerings.
Live betting is seen as incremental to business, with little evidence of cannibalization and a slightly lower hold rate.
Product focus areas include live betting, parlay innovation, merchandising, CRM, and AI-driven personalization.
AI is being leveraged across engineering, customer service, and personalization, with significant productivity gains.
iGaming product leads the market, with over 20% growth and half of volume on proprietary content, emphasizing stability and personalization.
Market trends, regulatory environment, and expansion
Handle growth is accelerating in Q1, attributed to increased sports interest and NBA ratings.
Retention rates are strong, with over 100% year-over-year handle and revenue retention on existing cohorts.
Tax increases have been limited to a few states, with most maintaining stable rates; iGaming legislative momentum is building.
International expansion is considered opportunistically, with a focus on U.S. and Canada for near-term growth.
Prediction markets are viewed as an opportunity, pending regulatory decisions expected in mid-April.
Latest events from DraftKings
- Super App and AI-driven expansion target $55–$80B TAM and 30%+ EBITDA margin by 2030.DKNG
Investor Day 20266 Mar 2026 - Q4 2025 revenue up 43% YoY, record Adjusted EBITDA, and positive net income with strong 2026 outlook.DKNG
Q4 202513 Feb 2026 - Q2 revenue up 26% to $1.104B, net income $63.8M, $1B share buyback authorized.DKNG
Q2 20242 Feb 2026 - NFL season launches new products and growth, with iGaming and M&A fueling future upside.DKNG
Bank of America Gaming & Lodging Conference22 Jan 2026 - Q3 revenue up 39% to $1.10B; 2025 guidance strong, 2024 outlook lowered on sports outcomes.DKNG
Q3 202415 Jan 2026 - U.S. OSB market is growing rapidly, driven by innovation, scale, and favorable legislative trends.DKNG
Craig-Hallum’s 4th Annual Online Gaming Conference12 Jan 2026 - 2025 revenue guidance raised to $6.3–$6.6B, led by live betting, digital lottery, and customer growth.DKNG
Q4 20248 Jan 2026 - Board-backed proposals, including director elections and ESPP amendment, are assured passage due to CEO voting control.DKNG
Proxy Filing1 Dec 2025 - Key votes include director elections, auditor ratification, and executive compensation.DKNG
Proxy Filing1 Dec 2025