Canadian National Railway Company
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Canadian National Railway Company (CNR) investor relations material

Canadian National Railway Company Bernstein 42nd Annual Strategic Decisions Conference summary

Complete event summary combining all related documents: earnings call transcript, report, and slide presentation.
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Bernstein 42nd Annual Strategic Decisions Conference summary27 May, 2026

Long-term growth opportunities and network positioning

  • Positioned on a rich natural resource base, especially in northern and western Canada, with strong port access on all coasts and a diverse business portfolio spanning consumer, industrial, and resource segments.

  • Significant growth expected in natural resources, including energy products, potash, grain, and critical minerals, with industry forecasts of 25%-40% growth in natural gas and up to 70% in potash over the next decade.

  • Export capabilities enhanced by exclusive access to Prince Rupert, which has shifted from primarily intermodal to a balanced export hub, with carload business rising from 40% to 55% in four years.

  • Major capital investments over the past four years have increased network, locomotive, and railcar capacity, positioning for both immediate and long-term growth.

  • Structural growth projects like the ACE Terminal partnership are expected to drive persistent, fundamental growth in energy exports.

Operational excellence and productivity

  • Productivity improvements include 15% faster cycle times and record grain and corn crop movements without additional assets.

  • Five consecutive quarters of domestic intermodal growth, with service quality enabling pricing above rail cost inflation.

  • Operating leverage allows incremental volume growth to translate directly to earnings and free cash flow, with available capacity in every corridor.

  • Modernized locomotive fleet and 25% increased western network capacity provide several years of growth before further capital investment is needed.

  • Ongoing terminal productivity initiatives and technology adoption, including AI and data analytics, are expected to drive further efficiency gains.

Market dynamics, trade, and regulatory environment

  • Trade diversification is a key theme, with efforts to expand beyond the U.S. while maintaining its critical importance; 75% of Canadian trade remains with the U.S.

  • Tariff impacts have been largely mitigated, with most lost revenue replaced by new business, though forest products remain challenged.

  • Regulatory changes are slow but progressing, with Canada granting some waivers ahead of the U.S.; industry seeks a more constructive framework to unlock technology-driven productivity.

  • The Railway Safety Act is viewed as overly prescriptive and not addressing actual industry issues, potentially hindering operational efficiency.

  • Autonomous trucking and rail technology are seen as necessary for future logistics efficiency, given labor constraints and economic growth aspirations.

Prince Rupert's shift to natural resource export
Critique of the UP and Norfolk merger proposal
Productivity risks from the Railway Safety Act
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Q2 202624 Jul, 2026
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