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Coinbase Global Citi’s 2026 Global TMT Conference summary

Complete event summary combining all related documents: earnings call transcript, report, and slide presentation.
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Citi’s 2026 Global TMT Conference summary10 Sep, 2026

Business expansion and product innovation

  • Total addressable market has expanded significantly, moving from a single-product spot trading platform to four trading verticals: spot, derivatives (including commodities and metals), tokenized equities, and prediction markets, with the latter showing strong early growth.

  • Currently operating 12 product lines generating over $100 million annually, leveraging a common infrastructure and small, agile teams to efficiently scale new features and products.

  • Recent launches include tokenized equities for non-U.S. customers and rapid growth in prediction markets, which have shown strong product market fit and incremental revenue without cannibalizing existing lines.

  • Priorities for the year are focused on growing the Everything Exchange, stablecoins, and payments, with derivatives and prediction markets highlighted as key growth areas.

  • Collaboration with partners like Circle on USDC continues, with a perpetually renewable agreement and mutual incentives to drive adoption, though competition remains in certain areas.

Financial reporting and operational discipline

  • Financial disclosures are evolving to reflect diversified revenue streams, now breaking out trading volumes for spot, derivatives, and stablecoins to enhance transparency for investors.

  • Expense discipline remains a focus, with productivity per person rising due to AI, enabling growth with a lower headcount and a commitment to adjusted EBITDA positivity even in declining revenue environments.

  • Expenses for 2026 are expected to be similar to 2025, barring changes in USDC rewards, supporting stable operating margins.

  • Nine consecutive quarters of native inflows and growing market share signal strong user trust and brand strength, even in choppy market conditions.

Regulatory and market environment

  • The company is cautiously optimistic about upcoming regulatory clarity, with multiple paths to achieve it, including congressional approval and proactive rulemaking by regulatory bodies.

  • Tokenized equities are seen as a natural evolution, with a focus on real, one-for-one backed securities on-chain, emphasizing customer education and clear taxonomy to distinguish between true securities and derivatives.

  • The company believes permission-less blockchains offer superior security and resiliency, though permissioned chains may coexist for specific use cases.

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