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Capital Power (CPX) investor relations material
Capital Power Q4 2025 earnings summary
Complete event summary combining all related documents: earnings call transcript, report, and slide presentation.Executive summary
Achieved a transformative and record year in 2025, driven by major U.S. acquisitions, strategic asset optimization, and expanded contracted cash flows, with U.S. assets now representing about 60% of capacity and adjusted EBITDA.
Completed the largest acquisition in company history, adding 2.2 GW of U.S. natural gas generation in the PJM market for approximately $3.0 billion, and expanded renewable portfolio by 300 MW.
Ongoing construction of three solar projects in North Carolina and commissioning of 170 MW battery storage in Ontario, with contracts through 2047.
Formed a $4.2 billion investment partnership with Apollo Global Management to pursue further U.S. natural gas generation assets.
Secured new long-term contracts for Midland Cogeneration Venture through 2040 and Arlington Valley through 2038, enhancing cash flow visibility.
Financial highlights
Adjusted EBITDA for 2025 reached $1,580 million (CAD 1.58 billion), up 18% or $237 million year-over-year, driven by U.S. acquisitions and flexible generation.
AFFO was $1,066 million (CAD 1.07 billion), a 29% increase from 2024, reflecting higher EBITDA and lower income tax expense.
Revenues and other income for 2025 totaled $3,720 million, a decrease of $56 million year-over-year.
Net income for 2025 was $159 million, with Q4 net loss of $13 million; net income declined due to non-cash items and absence of prior divestiture gains.
Increased common share dividend by 6%, marking 12 consecutive years of growth.
Outlook and guidance
2026 Adjusted EBITDA guidance: $1,565 million–$1,765 million; AFFO guidance: $890 million–$1,010 million.
Sustaining capital in 2026 projected at $290 million–$330 million, reflecting proactive investment in reliability and long-term earnings durability.
2030 targets include 8–10% AFFO/share CAGR, 13–15% annual TSR, and ~50% U.S. growth, with capital allocation focused on AFFO per share growth and disciplined U.S. expansion.
Positioned for growth amid rising North American electricity demand driven by AI, electrification, and population growth.
- Genesee is off coal, U.S. assets drive growth, and 2024 guidance is revised lower.CPX
Q2 20242 Feb 2026 - Power demand surges, driving growth in renewables, firm supply, and data center solutions.CPX
Barclays 38th Annual CEO Energy-Power Conference22 Jan 2026 - Record U.S. asset contributions and major acquisitions drove Q3 growth despite Alberta weakness.CPX
Q3 202417 Jan 2026 - 2025 plan targets growth via flexible generation, U.S. acquisitions, and renewables amid strong demand.CPX
Guidance10 Jan 2026 - $2.2B PJM deal adds 2.2 GW, boosting capacity, accretion, and top-five North American position.CPX
M&A Announcement25 Dec 2025 - Record generation, U.S. growth, Genesee off coal, and strong 2025 outlook define the year.CPX
Q4 202418 Dec 2025 - US$3B Apollo partnership and natural gas-led growth drive 13-15% TSR and 50% U.S. capacity target.CPX
Investor Day 202515 Dec 2025 - Record Q1 growth, major PJM acquisition, and high contracted cash flows support 2025 outlook.CPX
Q1 20253 Dec 2025 - Q2 2025 saw a major U.S. acquisition, higher AFFO, and a raised 2025 outlook.CPX
Q2 202516 Nov 2025
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